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Many open-source projects that I've been involved with are more successful once they create a simple starting point for new people to get involved. This will be even more important for making an open source project a tool 'for the masses.' I think that creating a physical android phone will be a crucial first step.
With Elgg, we're working under the assumption that mobile Internet is going to dramatically grow in popularity over the next couple of years. As a result, we've built the ability to host multiple mobile interfaces directly into the core - an Android phone might have different capabilities to an iPhone, which might be different to a Blackberry. I don't think these platforms will reach a state of compatibility for quite some time (look how long it's taken for the desktop web). However, Android may be a great step towards establishing a standard level of functionality.
All this said, I worry. Google have flubbed OpenSocial, more than I think many people realise - it's beginning to dawn on people that it was a marketing effort more than anything else. If the SDK for Android is lacking, the Open Handset Alliance is going to lose the support of outside developers. I wonder if the members of the Alliance have better tools internally?
,Michael Martin
http://www.googleandblog.com/